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Study: Old age won't boost health care costs as much as some have predicted

Published in Managed Care Weekly Digest, January 27th, 2003

Baby boomers will increase Medicare and other medical expenditures as they age but not nearly as much as some analysts have feared, according to a new University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill study.

The study, which appears in the January 2003 issue of the Journal of Gerontology, suggests that by living longer, many baby boomers will pass the ages at which the most "heroic," and hence expensive, efforts are made to prolong their lives.

Once members of that generation survive into their mid-80s and beyond, many medical procedures will become too risky for their older bodies and will be avoided in many cases, the UNC School of Public Health...

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