Epidemiology

45 million more AIDS cases predicted by 2010

Published in Medical Letter on the CDC and FDA, August 25th, 2002

About 45 million more people worldwide will be infected with the AIDS virus in the next 8 years, a huge increase that can be averted only with drastic action, experts say.

In research released July 6, 2002, scientists estimated 29 million of the cases, about two-thirds, could be prevented.

But they said achieving that goal would cost $27 billion - about $1000 per infection avoided - between now and 2010.

Annual worldwide spending on HIV prevention will have to quadruple from $1.2 billion to $4.8 billion by 2005, experts said. The true costs could be higher if the money is not used effectively in all countries, they added.

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Source: Medical Letter on the CDC and FDA (2002-08-25)

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