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Foot and Mouth Disease

Earlier Culling Would Have Dramatically Reduced Epidemic

Published in TB and Outbreaks Week, October 16th, 2001

The United Kingdom's recent foot and mouth epidemic could have been "substantially reduced in scale had the most efficient control measures been rigorously applied earlier." So concluded professor Neil Ferguson and colleagues of Imperial College of Science, Technology, and Medicine, London.

Their new mathematical analysis of disease, culling, and census data from all the livestock farms in Great Britain pinpoints the risk factors that shaped the epidemic and evaluates the impact of control policies. The Imperial team demonstrated that "extended culling programs were essential for controlling the epidemic to the extent achieved."

They found that the...

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