Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease

Scientists predict swift end to epidemic

Published in TB and Outbreaks Week, June 10th, 2003

As few as 40 people over the next 80 years could die from variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (vCJD) as a consequence of eating BSE-infected meat.

Previous estimates of the size of the vCJD epidemic have been uncertain, with the estimated upper limit of cases in the U.K. as high as 50,000 only 2 years ago. These new predictions are more confident, with a comparable worst-case scenario of 540 U.K. cases between now and 2080.

Dr. Azra Ghani, who carried out the work with other researchers from Professor Roy Anderson's department in Imperial College, London, wrote, "Our results suggest that the vCJD epidemic will continue to decline with a best estimate...

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Source: TB and Outbreaks Week (2003-06-10)

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