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UCLA develops new model to predict the spread of a 'super-bug' in L.A. county jail

Published in TB and Outbreaks Week, August 28th, 2007

Researchers at UCLA have developed a mathematical model that mimics a particularly nasty and ongoing outbreak in the Los Angeles County Jail (LACJ) of the flesh eating bacteria Staphylococcus Aureus.

Reporting in the September issue of Nature Reviews Microbiology and currently online, Sally Blower, a professor of biomathematics at the Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior at UCLA, and colleagues constructed a simple model of the outbreak in order to assess its severity, predict the consequences of a catastrophic outbreak in the jail, and suggest effective interventions to stop or control it.

Blower was intrigued by the outbreak in the...

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