TB & Outbreaks Week
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Epidemics
Research reports on epidemics from A. Donofrio and colleagues provide new insights
April 7th, 2009
According to a study from Milan, Italy, "It is well known that behavioral changes in contact patterns may significantly affect the spread of an epidemic outbreak. Here we focus on simple endemic models for recurrent epidemics, by modelling the social contact rate as a function of the available information on the present and the past disease prevalence." "We show that social behavior change alone may trigger sustained oscillations. This indicates that human behavior might be a critical explaining factor of oscillations in time-series of endemic diseases," wrote A. Donofrio and colleagues. The researchers concluded: "Finally, we briefly show how the...
Source: TB & Outbreaks Week (2009-04-07)
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