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TB & Outbreaks Week

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Epidemics



Research results from University of Texas update knowledge of epidemics



May 19th, 2009

"The reproductive ratio, R-0, is a fundamental quantity in epidemiology, which determines the initial increase in an infectious disease in a susceptible host population. In most epidemic models, there is a specific value of R-0, the epidemic threshold, above which epidemics are possible, but below which epidemics cannot occur," scientists writing in the Journal of the Royal Society Interface report.

"As the complexity of an epidemic model increases, so too does the difficulty of calculating epidemic thresholds. Here we derive the reproductive ratio and epidemic thresholds for susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemics in a simple class of dynamic random...


Source: TB & Outbreaks Week (2009-05-19)

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