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Imperial College London



Swine flu: Early findings about pandemic potential reported in new study



May 26th, 2009

Early findings about the emerging pandemic of a new strain of influenza A (H1N1) in Mexico are published in Science.

Researchers from the MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling at Imperial College London, working in collaboration with the World Health Organisation and public health agencies in Mexico, have assessed the epidemic using data to the end of April. Their key findings are as follows:

The data so far is very consistent with what researchers would expect to find in the early stages of a pandemic. The researchers' best estimate is that in Mexico, influenza A (H1N1) is fatal in around 4 in 1,000 cases, which would make this strain of...


Source: TB & Outbreaks Week (2009-05-26)

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