Pandemics
Studies from M. Ajelli and Co-Researchers Yield New Data on Pandemics
Published in TB and Outbreaks Week, July 12th, 2011
2011 JUL 12 -- "During the early phases of the 2009 influenza pandemic in Italy, real-time modeling analysis were conducted in order to estimate the impact of the pandemic. In order to evaluate the results obtained by the model we compared simulated epidemics to the estimated number of influenza-like illness (ILI) collected by the Italian sentinel surveillance system (INFLUNET), showing a good agreement with the timing of the observed epidemic," scientists in Trento, Italy report.
"By assuming in the model mitigation measures implemented in Italy, the peak was expected on week 44 (95% CI: 44, 45). Results were consistent with the INFLUNET data showing that...
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