Published in Vaccine Weekly, February 8th, 2006
"Mathematical modeling is an established tool for planning and monitoring vaccination programs. However, the matrices describing contact rates are based on subjective choices, which have a large impact on results. [Our] paper reviews published models and obtains prior model probabilities based on publication frequency and expert opinion. Using serological survey data on rubella and mumps, Bayesian methods of model choice are applied to select the most plausible models," scientists in Lebanon and the United Kingdom report.
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